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CL – Day timeframe: res/sup
Every speculator’s strategy is the same – “Buy low, sell high”. A barrel of oil was $10 cheaper – a great opportunity for speculation. From Monday to Friday, session after session the price fell, keeping its rhythm 2 productive days, then unloading and again. Let’s analyze the delta trend from January 23 to February 3 (lower histogram shows the total delta and % of imbalance for the day]. On the 23rd of January the volume activity of the sellers exceeded the activity of the buyers by 2500 contracts. 2-2.5k and the total imbalance by delta, I mean timeframe of the day, is sufficient to maintain a unidirectional trend. Also note…
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EURO – iceberg order
A few days ago (31.01) after the opening of the European stock markets, at the local low, there was a level where the big guys were trading with Iceberg-orders. I immediately used this opportunity to make a buy trade, which is still accompanying at the moment. Tick Chart level 1.084 Note the ticks at this price. The imbalance filter is highlighted in green and the values in these ticks are total volume. And the buyer/seller delta in each tick is on the buyer’s side. A large order – sell limit was already seen at 02:40. It’s not hard to spot – look closely, the buyers couldn’t even push the price…
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ES – scalping trading tips & tricks by Mikhail Lemah
You have the e-mini S&P500 in front of you and 2 scalping sell trades. But you may well have a question as to why there are 2 of them if you could not close the short and then re-send the sell orders 20-30 seconds later on the market. Using this example, I will try to show you one of the tools I use to enter a position more accurately and efficiently. Volume analysis – allows you to determine the moments when the market activity of buyers and sellers is not equal. Observing the crazy flow of trades in Time&Sales – it is possible to fix the point of critical pressure…
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CL – support & resistance [feb23]
Back in early December, the upper bound was set at $80 per barrel of black gold. Oil traders have repeatedly attacked the level, but until now they have failed to extend the range higher. On the slide above: CL [Feb 23]. Tf: Day. Chart: Double Cluster [volume/delta]. Total Hist.: Delta. Note the repeat of the 7 day uptrend and the return to the same prices in 2022. Such repetitions in the stock market are no coincidence. And there are plenty of companies interested in a price hike by the states that produce and sell oil. Today is the 7th day of an uptrend and this will affect buyer confidence and activity. It is…
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Friday the 13th
Friday the 13th is always superstitious for traders and many are wary of working on such a day. But for investors and traders who trade on days when companies release quarterly reports, today is a good time. UnitedHealth (UNH). JPMorgan (JPM) Bank of America (BAC) Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) BlackRock (BLK) Citigroup (C) This is a list of banks and financial companies that will release quarterly reports. Almost all of the list will report before the market opens. Keeping an eye on these reports is necessary both for investors and those traders who trade indices that include these companies. For super volatility and directional price reaction as a result…
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What about BTC- and what does CBDC have to do with it
price histogram : total volume & delta tf histogram : total volume & delta The US has begun testing a system for “CBDC” in November 2022. CBDC – central bank digital currency BTC – bitcoin On November 15, 2022, representatives of the US banking community announced the launch of a proof-of-concept test of the Regulated Liability Network (RLN) digital asset settlement platform and the possibility of using the digital dollar. RLN (Regulated Liabilities Network) is a regulated liability network. It is essentially a technology based on the same distributed registry and smart contracts with integrated protocol modules for interfacing with other financial systems. CBDC – controlled by the Central Bank…
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Euro – calm before the storm
price histogram : total volume & delta tf histogram : total volume & delta The first week of the March contract formed a common type of week – a flat. This type is easy to identify, the volume cores of each trading day are on the same price range. Pay attention to the volume filter cells by price, which are highlighted in blue. The total of these volumes forms the current core of volume trades for the week – this range is marked in blue on the scale and signed. This range should be used as a starting point for calculating trading activity for subsequent days. If the price is…
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CL – between the hammer and the anvil
price histogram : total volume & delta tf histogram : total volume & delta There is quite an interesting situation for oil at the moment, worthy of your attention. You can see on the slide, there are two important levels, support 74 – 74.50 and resistance 76.50 – 77.50. The situation is interesting as it is the third day that the oil price is trying to break through the resistance, but all the attempts to do so ended in the pullback. But today, as you can see from the lower histogram, buyers’ activity is not high, but higher than that of the sellers. If you hold the buy, you have…
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Henry Hub Natural Gas – February contract
price histogram : total volume & delta tf histogram : total volume & delta The first target is fulfilled. namely, the recent gap has been closed and aggressive buyers are slowly coming back. If Friday will be traded with outweighing on the side of the buyer – from Monday it will be possible to look for an entry point to buy. A little clarification – now it is relevant to analyze the Henry Hub Natural Gas FEB23 of February. January one is not so interesting for big players. As for the current situation – after the price returns to the 6.50 – 7 level, where the resistance level was formed back in late November.…
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Henry Hub Natural Gas – weather shapes demand
price histogram : total volume & delta tf histogram : total volume & delta For almost a month, the price of Henry Hub Natural Gas futures has not moved out of the 5.8 to 6.4 range. The expected price rallied in November and then a correction that no one expected until 5.4. In three days, buyers happily bought all they could in the 5.3 to 5.8 range. This level is the range of key support. The starting point for this trend has been the volume array, which has been trading for nearly a month since the 20s of October. Buyers dominated from Monday of last week until the current day, which reflected in…
