• Analytics

    June 18, Economic Pulse Central Banks and Key Data in the Spotlight

    Key events for financial markets this week   US:   Retail Sales: Expected to rise 0.3% in May, after stagnating in April. Investors will be assessing the impact of the Fed’s interest rate hike on consumer spending. Fed Speeches: Fed speakers including John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daley and Thomas Barkin will comment on the state of the economy and outlook.   China:   Economic Data: Publication of industrial production, unemployment rate, retail sales and housing prices for May. Investors will be watching for signs of economic recovery. Rate Decision: The People’s Bank of China is expected to cut its lending rate on Thursday to support the economy.   Central…

  • Analytics

    June 11, Economic Pulse Central Banks and Key Data in the Spotlight

    Key events for financial markets this week   This week, events with a major impact on the economy are expected in the global financial markets: central bank decisions and the publication of key economic data will be in the spotlight.   Fed Focus: The Federal Reserve wraps up its two-day meeting on Wednesday, and no changes in interest rates are expected. However, the market is eagerly awaiting updated economic forecasts that will likely signal two rate cuts before the end of 2024. Inflation data for May, released just prior to the Fed’s announcement, will be critical. Further signs of weakening inflation could reinforce expectations of a rate cut, especially given…

  • Analytics

    June 3, Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook

    Market overview: analyst’s view Markets: U.S. futures are trading mixed ahead of a new month of trading. Investors are awaiting the release of a key U.S. jobs report that could influence the Federal Reserve’s attitude toward a possible interest rate cut this year. Dow futures were down 0.1%, S&P 500 futures were up 0.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.4%. In May, the Dow rose 2.4%, the S&P 500 rose 4.8% and the Nasdaq rose 6.9%.   Economics: The U.S. jobs report is expected to show that the U.S. labor market remained resilient in the face of an interest rate hike in May. Economists forecast that the economy added…

  • Analytics

    Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook

    Market overview: analyst’s view Inflation: Investors will be closely watching inflation data in the US, eurozone and Japan this week to get an idea of the central banks’ next moves. The US PCE Personal Consumption Price Index (inflation) is expected to show an increase, which could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy further. In the eurozone, inflation is likely to remain stable, but the ECB may start cutting rates in June. In Japan, inflation could push the BOJ to raise rates for a second time this year. Manufacturing sector: China The state of China’s manufacturing sector will be a key factor in assessing the country’s economic growth rate. Industrial…

  • Analytics,  VolFix

    💫Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook

    Not much economic data is expected this week.   The key events are the 20-year Treasury bond auction, the release of the Fed minutes and Nvidia earnings, which occur on Wednesday.   Monday and Tuesday will be dominated by speeches from FRB Atlanta President Rafael Bostic. He will speak on both days, with additional appearances on Thursday.   Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller will also speak this week, discussing the economic outlook on Tuesday and monetary policy on Friday. Traders believe the neutral rate (R*) is higher than the Fed thinks, pointing to rising commodity prices such as copper as evidence. They expect inflation to rise further and believe the…

  • Analytics

    Market Pulse: S&P500 Volume Analysis

    the author uses VolFix trading and analytical platform main methodology – Volume Analysis / Price Action / Market Profile In this research review, let’s take a look at the e-mini S&P500 index futures contract. The summary of quarterly reports from large cap companies confirms the current trend of the S&P500 index. The financial sector, namely the big banks, reported earnings above expectations. The analysis of the price dynamics over the last 3 months has helped to identify the weak points, i.e:    AAPL –14.7% ADBE –22.65% AMD –11.62% INTC –28.6% TSLA –31.97%   Energy, Finance, Basic Materials – growth leaders:      Energy +14.7% Financials +7% Basic Materials +6.95%  …

  • Analytics,  Tips & Tricks,  VolFix

    EURO: Volume Analysis & Key Levels

    This analytical review is not like any other you may have read before.  Here you will not find answers as to why the market went up or down.  All we need is the data from the stock exchange on the volume of trades at each price. Simply put, we analyze which prices traders are interested in, which trend is being supported by players and which prices are being used to make large trades.  Ahead is a chart of the EURO FX futures contract, or EUR/USD if you prefer. Time frame – Day.  Period – 12/01 – 15/04/2024 Type of chart – volume profile.  Bottom and left histograms – Volume &…

  • Analytics

    ES OPTION LEVELS + HOOK Pattern

    In the last article we looked at the Cobra trading pattern for the daily timeframe. The scale of the model is 4-5 trading sessions, so it is difficult to identify more than three models over the period of one contract. Slide #1 – September contract Slide #2 – June contract This year’s June contract for the S&P 500 Index is very generous with these types of models. Apart from the “COBRA” model. You can read about it in detail in a previous article, also identified a model “HOOK”. On slide #2 you can examine these trading models – they are marked with rectangles and signed accordingly. In the last article…

  • Analytics,  VolFix

    ES JUN 23 statistical data / key levels / patterns

      This week and next week, large traders will start locking in their positions on the June S&P500 index futures contract. Having gathered statistical data for the contract, I did some research to identify trading patterns and set the right values for filters and alerts. In this article I will share some useful information with you. To understand the chart on slide 1 – a little clarification of what data is displayed, so that you can navigate and use the information for your research. The chart is a daily timeframe 12.03-02.06.2023. The chart itself displays Market Profile clusters. Each bar displays data from 08:30 to 15:15 – when the US stock exchanges and banks are active. This…

  • Tips & Tricks

    GOLD GC COMEX

    75% of the currently held gold has been produced since 1910, two-thirds since 1950. South Africa has been the source of much of the world’s gold reserves and about 22% of the currently accounted for gold comes from South Africa. In 2020, China was the world’s leading gold producer, followed in order by Australia, the USA, Canada and Ghana. Consumption of the world’s produced gold is about 50% in jewellery, 40% in investment and 10% in industry. The price of gold is determined by trading in the gold and derivatives market, but a procedure known as gold fixing in London, which began in September 1919, provides a daily benchmark price…