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CL: JUN23 Saudi Aramco > Oil & Gas >
At the moment, there is an interesting combination in crude oil. The first days of liquid trading of the JUN23 futures contract. Just above you can examine the slide. Here is the CHART:: Classic Profile Chart / Delta by price TF:: Day Total H&P.Histograms Volume/Delta Open Interest yellow/gray line The current trading session landed on the volume support at 80-80.50, which was formed in the last contract. The level is marked on the slide. And the quote is at the GAP RANGE (on slide). Judging by the data of the current trading session – not many buyers, but large oil traders’ interest in the current price has appeared sharply, which is confirmed by the…
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ES500: MARKET PROFILE Finance Sector> Banksters > FedRes
The total volume figure for the day varies between 900k and 1,000k. For the ES500 index, the overshoot of 1200k is a strike indicator of the day. Delta Imbalance (lower histogram)-last trading days, was on the side of buyers. And if we add the Open Interest indicator, which as many expected will be falling, but the number of open positions is increasing no matter how much we would like to the contrary. The local key range “Contract’s core” – almost 85% coincides with the range of support that was formed during all these holidays. The level is marked MAIN AREA. Big Trades highlighted buying activity. And combined with the stock market heat map…
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TIPS and TRICKS: time market map
For profitable trading it will be advisable to make trades at the moments of trading session when strong price movement is the most probable, and those periods when market is weak or is in sideways movement, exclude trading operations. After the first study of market tendencies one might think that it is almost impossible to determine in advance in which periods the market is more dynamic. It is worth to mark out the times when important news and reports are released. Take an economic calendar to determine the exact time of news releases. My research was carried out, the main task was to identify the periods of trading session with higher volatility and…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 6
Vitol became vertically integrated, which would allow it to minimise investment in and dependence on actual oil production. He says: “I would kill – kill! – for such a system”. Although setting up such a structure would be costly, Taylor and his colleagues want to remain a private company at all costs. Glencore’s initial public offering in 2011, which resulted in several “billionaires on paper” on the same day, did not entice Taylor or his team, he says. At least, that is the case now. Bob Finch, a former top manager at Vitol who has been its largest shareholder for many years, says the company considered hiring a bank about…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 5
Instead of paying a fine by refusing to admit guilt, Vitol agreed to a plea bargain in New York State Supreme Court. Other companies, including Chevron, were going through similar civil and criminal proceedings at the time, but few pleaded guilty. Taylor says: “We went to this to protect our own staff” He believes that otherwise prosecutors could have charged individual traders. Another storm erupted around the company in 2012, when Vitol purchased Iranian oil to circumvent US and EU sanctions. Vitol, which used its subsidiary in Bahrain for the deal, denied guilt. Nevertheless, this episode was a watershed for the company. After suffering negative reactions from CIM and some…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 4
For Vitol, oil is just the beginning. The company mixes different types of fuel to obtain a product of exactly the right quality for a particular region, customer or even season. To guarantee an uninterrupted supply, Vitol pays in advance to companies such as Russia’s Rosneft, or to entire governments, such as the oil-rich Kurdistan Region in northern Iraq. Having sold this oil, it will recoup all its costs a hundredfold. Craig Pirrong, professor of economics and finance at the University of Houston, says that while Vitol is perceived as a speculator, the company actually acts as a middleman. It turns supertankers into floating oil storage tanks, carefully timing the…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 3
Vitol in its current form began taking shape in 1990, when Dettinger and seven other partners sold the company for between $100m and $200m (the actual figures have not been disclosed) to a team of around 40 employees, including Taylor. The buyout was financed by Dutch bank ABN and former trader Tom Wonk took over as CEO. Since then, no single shareholder has controlled more than 5% of the company – Taylor and his team call this the “we culture” and claim it has been the cornerstone of Vitol’s success. Bake says: “If someone thinks they are bigger or better than all of us together, sooner or later they will…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 2
Vitol has not had a single loss-making year in its half-century history (the company will celebrate its 50th anniversary in August). According to Bloomberg Markets, its profits have risen from $22.9m in 1995 to a record $2.28bn in 2009. At its peak, Vitol’s return on equity was an unthinkable 56%. Even Wall Street pales next to such success: Goldman Sachs’ peak return on equity since its IPO in 1999 was 31%. Jean-François Lambert, who worked extensively with the company as head of global commodity markets and structured trade finance at HSBC, says: “Vitol has established itself as an energy trader at its most extreme. Journalists traced the history of Vitol’s…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 1
Taylor, chief executive of the Vitol Group, the world’s largest independent oil trader, caught himself thinking he would like to see a full-fledged jet fighter in the place of the drone accompanying him. The head of Vitol, Ian Taylor It was early 2011. Rebels opposed to Colonel Muammar Gaddafi’s 42-year dictatorship had just taken control of the city and appointed their own government. A meeting with this motley group of former military officials and local politicians was arranged surprisingly quickly, but Taylor realised that if anyone could make a deal with them, it would be Vitol. A few weeks ago, one of its top managers in Dubai, Christopher Baik, received…