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ES JUN 23 statistical data / key levels / patterns
This week and next week, large traders will start locking in their positions on the June S&P500 index futures contract. Having gathered statistical data for the contract, I did some research to identify trading patterns and set the right values for filters and alerts. In this article I will share some useful information with you. To understand the chart on slide 1 – a little clarification of what data is displayed, so that you can navigate and use the information for your research. The chart is a daily timeframe 12.03-02.06.2023. The chart itself displays Market Profile clusters. Each bar displays data from 08:30 to 15:15 – when the US stock exchanges and banks are active. This…
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TRADERS RATING
Light Sweet Crude Oil 13.03-19.05.2023 The VolFix platform offers a trading rating service for traders who have given public access to real-time information about their trades in simulated accounts (paper-accounts). The modern investor will study the statement and monitor the trader’s trades before making capital available for trust management. On slide #1 the table on the left shows the ratings of traders for the period 13/03-19/05/23 who trade on the NYMEX. There are a total of 100 traders in the NYMEX ranking for this period. 41 of 100 traders – positive returns (P/L% greater than 0). 8 traders – profit above 10000$. Winning Traders 45 Losing Traders 55 P/L more…
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Order Book, Level I and II Market Data
The most reliable tool that traders use to make trading decisions is Level I and Level II market data. Market data comes directly from the exchange – for example, the NYSE and the CME provide Level I and II data for stocks and futures contracts. Traders receive market data via their broker. Level I and Level II are available for futures and equities. Access to Level II data is more expensive than Level I for stocks and futures. Some brokers may provide all data streams free of charge, but usually charge higher fees as compensation. This market data includes information on current prices and recently completed trades. Level II data…
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EURO ::: LOCAL VOLUME LEVELS
The eur/usd pair is familiar to the average trader. An overview of current volume support and resistance levels. Many of you who send questions to my email ask about the software I use to analyse market activity and trade. This is my mistake, we will correct it now. I should have introduced you to the program much earlier. This is a complete platform for technical and volumetric analysis of all available stock exchanges. The VolFix platform is excellent at all stages of trading: Premarket Open Market Research Search Trading Postmarket The slide above marks all the levels required. A little about what is involved in the arsenal. To determine the…
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CL: JUN23 Saudi Aramco > Oil & Gas >
At the moment, there is an interesting combination in crude oil. The first days of liquid trading of the JUN23 futures contract. Just above you can examine the slide. Here is the CHART:: Classic Profile Chart / Delta by price TF:: Day Total H&P.Histograms Volume/Delta Open Interest yellow/gray line The current trading session landed on the volume support at 80-80.50, which was formed in the last contract. The level is marked on the slide. And the quote is at the GAP RANGE (on slide). Judging by the data of the current trading session – not many buyers, but large oil traders’ interest in the current price has appeared sharply, which is confirmed by the…
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ES500: MARKET PROFILE Finance Sector> Banksters > FedRes
The total volume figure for the day varies between 900k and 1,000k. For the ES500 index, the overshoot of 1200k is a strike indicator of the day. Delta Imbalance (lower histogram)-last trading days, was on the side of buyers. And if we add the Open Interest indicator, which as many expected will be falling, but the number of open positions is increasing no matter how much we would like to the contrary. The local key range “Contract’s core” – almost 85% coincides with the range of support that was formed during all these holidays. The level is marked MAIN AREA. Big Trades highlighted buying activity. And combined with the stock market heat map…
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TIPS and TRICKS: time market map
For profitable trading it will be advisable to make trades at the moments of trading session when strong price movement is the most probable, and those periods when market is weak or is in sideways movement, exclude trading operations. After the first study of market tendencies one might think that it is almost impossible to determine in advance in which periods the market is more dynamic. It is worth to mark out the times when important news and reports are released. Take an economic calendar to determine the exact time of news releases. My research was carried out, the main task was to identify the periods of trading session with higher volatility and…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 6
Vitol became vertically integrated, which would allow it to minimise investment in and dependence on actual oil production. He says: “I would kill – kill! – for such a system”. Although setting up such a structure would be costly, Taylor and his colleagues want to remain a private company at all costs. Glencore’s initial public offering in 2011, which resulted in several “billionaires on paper” on the same day, did not entice Taylor or his team, he says. At least, that is the case now. Bob Finch, a former top manager at Vitol who has been its largest shareholder for many years, says the company considered hiring a bank about…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 5
Instead of paying a fine by refusing to admit guilt, Vitol agreed to a plea bargain in New York State Supreme Court. Other companies, including Chevron, were going through similar civil and criminal proceedings at the time, but few pleaded guilty. Taylor says: “We went to this to protect our own staff” He believes that otherwise prosecutors could have charged individual traders. Another storm erupted around the company in 2012, when Vitol purchased Iranian oil to circumvent US and EU sanctions. Vitol, which used its subsidiary in Bahrain for the deal, denied guilt. Nevertheless, this episode was a watershed for the company. After suffering negative reactions from CIM and some…
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How the world’s biggest oil trader makes his billions – Vitol Group. Part 4
For Vitol, oil is just the beginning. The company mixes different types of fuel to obtain a product of exactly the right quality for a particular region, customer or even season. To guarantee an uninterrupted supply, Vitol pays in advance to companies such as Russia’s Rosneft, or to entire governments, such as the oil-rich Kurdistan Region in northern Iraq. Having sold this oil, it will recoup all its costs a hundredfold. Craig Pirrong, professor of economics and finance at the University of Houston, says that while Vitol is perceived as a speculator, the company actually acts as a middleman. It turns supertankers into floating oil storage tanks, carefully timing the…
