Key events for financial markets this week   US Inflation: On Friday, we’ll find out if inflation finally calms down, which could affect how soon the Fed decides to cut interest rates. Technology stocks: The tech sector is in decline, but some fear it could overheat. Investors may look to other sectors, such as the financial sector or smaller companies, for potential bargains. Oil prices: Oil prices are a bit nervous. Geopolitical tensions and a strong dollar could push them down, although they have been rising recently. Inflation in Europe: Data from some European countries will give an indication of inflation there. This will affect how many times the European…

Key events for financial markets this week   US:   Retail Sales: Expected to rise 0.3% in May, after stagnating in April. Investors will be assessing the impact of the Fed’s interest rate hike on consumer spending. Fed Speeches: Fed speakers including John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daley and Thomas Barkin will comment on the state of the economy and outlook.   China:   Economic Data: Publication of industrial production, unemployment rate, retail sales and housing prices for May. Investors will be watching for signs of economic recovery. Rate Decision: The People’s Bank of China is expected to cut its lending rate on Thursday to support the economy.   Central…

Key events for financial markets this week   This week, events with a major impact on the economy are expected in the global financial markets: central bank decisions and the publication of key economic data will be in the spotlight.   Fed Focus: The Federal Reserve wraps up its two-day meeting on Wednesday, and no changes in interest rates are expected. However, the market is eagerly awaiting updated economic forecasts that will likely signal two rate cuts before the end of 2024. Inflation data for May, released just prior to the Fed’s announcement, will be critical. Further signs of weakening inflation could reinforce expectations of a rate cut, especially given…

Market overview: analyst’s view Markets: U.S. futures are trading mixed ahead of a new month of trading. Investors are awaiting the release of a key U.S. jobs report that could influence the Federal Reserve’s attitude toward a possible interest rate cut this year. Dow futures were down 0.1%, S&P 500 futures were up 0.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.4%. In May, the Dow rose 2.4%, the S&P 500 rose 4.8% and the Nasdaq rose 6.9%.   Economics: The U.S. jobs report is expected to show that the U.S. labor market remained resilient in the face of an interest rate hike in May. Economists forecast that the economy added…

Market overview: analyst’s view Inflation: Investors will be closely watching inflation data in the US, eurozone and Japan this week to get an idea of the central banks’ next moves. The US PCE Personal Consumption Price Index (inflation) is expected to show an increase, which could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy further. In the eurozone, inflation is likely to remain stable, but the ECB may start cutting rates in June. In Japan, inflation could push the BOJ to raise rates for a second time this year. Manufacturing sector: China The state of China’s manufacturing sector will be a key factor in assessing the country’s economic growth rate. Industrial…

the author uses VolFix trading and analytical platform main methodology – Volume Analysis / Price Action / Market Profile In this research review, let’s take a look at the e-mini S&P500 index futures contract. The summary of quarterly reports from large cap companies confirms the current trend of the S&P500 index. The financial sector, namely the big banks, reported earnings above expectations. The analysis of the price dynamics over the last 3 months has helped to identify the weak points, i.e:    AAPL –14.7% ADBE –22.65% AMD –11.62% INTC –28.6% TSLA –31.97%   Energy, Finance, Basic Materials – growth leaders:      Energy +14.7% Financials +7% Basic Materials +6.95%  …

In the last article we looked at the Cobra trading pattern for the daily timeframe. The scale of the model is 4-5 trading sessions, so it is difficult to identify more than three models over the period of one contract. Slide #1 – September contract Slide #2 – June contract This year’s June contract for the S&P 500 Index is very generous with these types of models. Apart from the “COBRA” model. You can read about it in detail in a previous article, also identified a model “HOOK”. On slide #2 you can examine these trading models – they are marked with rectangles and signed accordingly. In the last article…