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June 3, Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook
Market overview: analyst’s view Markets: U.S. futures are trading mixed ahead of a new month of trading. Investors are awaiting the release of a key U.S. jobs report that could influence the Federal Reserve’s attitude toward a possible interest rate cut this year. Dow futures were down 0.1%, S&P 500 futures were up 0.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.4%. In May, the Dow rose 2.4%, the S&P 500 rose 4.8% and the Nasdaq rose 6.9%. Economics: The U.S. jobs report is expected to show that the U.S. labor market remained resilient in the face of an interest rate hike in May. Economists forecast that the economy added…
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Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook
Market overview: analyst’s view Inflation: Investors will be closely watching inflation data in the US, eurozone and Japan this week to get an idea of the central banks’ next moves. The US PCE Personal Consumption Price Index (inflation) is expected to show an increase, which could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy further. In the eurozone, inflation is likely to remain stable, but the ECB may start cutting rates in June. In Japan, inflation could push the BOJ to raise rates for a second time this year. Manufacturing sector: China The state of China’s manufacturing sector will be a key factor in assessing the country’s economic growth rate. Industrial…
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💫Economic Pulse Check: Key Data Highlights and Market Outlook
Not much economic data is expected this week. The key events are the 20-year Treasury bond auction, the release of the Fed minutes and Nvidia earnings, which occur on Wednesday. Monday and Tuesday will be dominated by speeches from FRB Atlanta President Rafael Bostic. He will speak on both days, with additional appearances on Thursday. Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller will also speak this week, discussing the economic outlook on Tuesday and monetary policy on Friday. Traders believe the neutral rate (R*) is higher than the Fed thinks, pointing to rising commodity prices such as copper as evidence. They expect inflation to rise further and believe the…
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Market Pulse: S&P500 Volume Analysis
the author uses VolFix trading and analytical platform main methodology – Volume Analysis / Price Action / Market Profile In this research review, let’s take a look at the e-mini S&P500 index futures contract. The summary of quarterly reports from large cap companies confirms the current trend of the S&P500 index. The financial sector, namely the big banks, reported earnings above expectations. The analysis of the price dynamics over the last 3 months has helped to identify the weak points, i.e: AAPL –14.7% ADBE –22.65% AMD –11.62% INTC –28.6% TSLA –31.97% Energy, Finance, Basic Materials – growth leaders: Energy +14.7% Financials +7% Basic Materials +6.95% …
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EURO: Volume Analysis & Key Levels
This analytical review is not like any other you may have read before. Here you will not find answers as to why the market went up or down. All we need is the data from the stock exchange on the volume of trades at each price. Simply put, we analyze which prices traders are interested in, which trend is being supported by players and which prices are being used to make large trades. Ahead is a chart of the EURO FX futures contract, or EUR/USD if you prefer. Time frame – Day. Period – 12/01 – 15/04/2024 Type of chart – volume profile. Bottom and left histograms – Volume &…
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Discount Week and New Course: First Steps in Trading
Dear traders, We are delighted to tell you that from January 22 to 28, you can start any evaluation program or extend your existing subscription with a 40% discount! Immerse yourself in real markets without fear of taking personal risk. Promo code: 40DISCOUNT The code can be used an unlimited number of times before the end of the promo offer. Once the promotion expires, the discount promo code is no longer valid. Help center: How to use promo codes? How to choose the date to start trading in the account up to 30 days from the date of purchase? Buy Account Dear traders, VolFix team has prepared…
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ES OPTION LEVELS + HOOK Pattern
In the last article we looked at the Cobra trading pattern for the daily timeframe. The scale of the model is 4-5 trading sessions, so it is difficult to identify more than three models over the period of one contract. Slide #1 – September contract Slide #2 – June contract This year’s June contract for the S&P 500 Index is very generous with these types of models. Apart from the “COBRA” model. You can read about it in detail in a previous article, also identified a model “HOOK”. On slide #2 you can examine these trading models – they are marked with rectangles and signed accordingly. In the last article…
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ES JUN 23 statistical data / key levels / patterns
This week and next week, large traders will start locking in their positions on the June S&P500 index futures contract. Having gathered statistical data for the contract, I did some research to identify trading patterns and set the right values for filters and alerts. In this article I will share some useful information with you. To understand the chart on slide 1 – a little clarification of what data is displayed, so that you can navigate and use the information for your research. The chart is a daily timeframe 12.03-02.06.2023. The chart itself displays Market Profile clusters. Each bar displays data from 08:30 to 15:15 – when the US stock exchanges and banks are active. This…
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GOLD GC COMEX
75% of the currently held gold has been produced since 1910, two-thirds since 1950. South Africa has been the source of much of the world’s gold reserves and about 22% of the currently accounted for gold comes from South Africa. In 2020, China was the world’s leading gold producer, followed in order by Australia, the USA, Canada and Ghana. Consumption of the world’s produced gold is about 50% in jewellery, 40% in investment and 10% in industry. The price of gold is determined by trading in the gold and derivatives market, but a procedure known as gold fixing in London, which began in September 1919, provides a daily benchmark price…
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TRADERS RATING
Light Sweet Crude Oil 13.03-19.05.2023 The VolFix platform offers a trading rating service for traders who have given public access to real-time information about their trades in simulated accounts (paper-accounts). The modern investor will study the statement and monitor the trader’s trades before making capital available for trust management. On slide #1 the table on the left shows the ratings of traders for the period 13/03-19/05/23 who trade on the NYMEX. There are a total of 100 traders in the NYMEX ranking for this period. 41 of 100 traders – positive returns (P/L% greater than 0). 8 traders – profit above 10000$. Winning Traders 45 Losing Traders 55 P/L more…
